Very Interesting Predictions!
Auto repair shops will go away.
A gasoline engine has 20,000 individual parts. An electrical
motor has 20. Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are only
repaired by dealers. It takes only 10 minutes to remove and replace an electric
motor. Faulty electric motors are not repaired in the dealership but are sent
to a regional repair shop that repairs them with robots. Your electric motor
malfunction light goes on, so you drive up to what looks like a Jiffy-auto
wash, and your car is towed through while you have a cup of coffee and out
comes your car with a new electric motor!
Gas stations will go away.
Parking meters will be replaced by meters that dispense
electricity. Companies will install
electrical recharging stations; in fact, they’ve already started. You can find
them at select DunkinDonuts locations. Most (the smart) major auto
manufacturers have already designated money to start building new plants that
only build electric cars.
Coal industries will go away. Gasoline/oil companies will go
away. Drilling for oil will stop.
So say goodbye to OPEC!
Homes will produce and store more electrical energy during
the day and then they use and will sell it back to the grid. The grid stores it
and dispenses it to industries that are high electricity users. Has anybody
seen the Tesla roof?
A baby of today will only see personal cars in museums.
The FUTURE is approaching faster than most of us can handle.
In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all
photo paper worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model
disappeared and they went bankrupt.
Who would have thought of that ever happening?
What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in
the next 5-10 years and, most people
don't see it coming.
Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later, you would never
take pictures on film again? With
today’s smart phones, who even has a camera these days?
Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones
only had 10,000 pixels, but followed
Moore's law. So as with all exponential
technologies, it was a disappointment for a time, before it became way superior
and became mainstream in only a few short years.
It will now happen again (but much faster) with Artificial
Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing,
agriculture and jobs.
Forget the book, “Future Shock”, welcome to the 4th
Industrial Revolution.
Software has disrupted and will continue to disrupt most
traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.
UBER is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and
are now the biggest taxi company in the
world! Ask any taxi driver if they saw
that coming.
Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world,
although they don't own any properties.
Ask Hilton Hotels if they saw that coming.
Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially
better in understanding the world. This
year, a computer beat the best Go-player in the world, 10 years earlier than
expected.
In the USA, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because
of IBM's Watson, you can get legal
advice (so far for right now, the basic stuff) within seconds, with 90%
accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans.
So, if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90%
fewer lawyers in the future, (what a thought!) only omniscient specialists will
remain.
Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, its 4 times
more accurate than human nurses.
Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can
recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more
intelligent than humans.
Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars are
already here. In the next 2 years, the entire industry will start to be
disrupted.
You won't want to own a car anymore, as you will call a car
with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your
destination.
You will not need to park it you will only pay for the
driven distance and you can be productive while driving.
The very young children of today will never get a driver's
license and will never own a car.
This will change our cities, because we will need 90-95%
fewer cars. We can transform former parking spaces into parks.
1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide
including distracted or drunk driving.
We now have one accident every 60,000 miles; with autonomous
driving that will drop to 1 accident in 6 million miles. That will save a
million lives plus worldwide each year.
Most traditional car companies will doubtless become
bankrupt. Traditional car companies will try the evolutionary approach and just
build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple,Google) will do the
revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.
Look at what Volvo is doing right now; no more internal
combustion engines in their vehicles starting this year with the 2019 models,
using all electric or hybrid only, with the intent of phasing out hybrid
models.
Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely
terrified of Tesla and so they should be. Look at all the companies offering
all electric vehicles. That was unheard of, only a few years ago.
Insurance companies will have massive trouble because,
without accidents, the costs will become cheaper. Their car insurance business
model will disappear.
Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you
commute, people will move farther away to live in a more beautiful or
affordable neighborhood.
Electric cars will become mainstream about 2030. Cities will
be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity. Cities will have much cleaner air as well. (Can we start in Los Angeles, please?)
Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean. Solar production has been on an exponential
curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact. And it’s just
getting ramped up.
Fossil energy companies are desperately trying to limit
access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but
that simply cannot continue - technology will take care of that strategy.
Health: TheTricorder X price will be announced this year.
There are companies who will build a medical device (called the
"Tricorder" from Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes
your retina scan, your blood sample and you breath into it. It then analyses 54 bio-markers that will
identify nearly any disease. There are dozens of phone apps out there right now
for health purposes.
WELCOME TO TOMORROW – it actually arrived a few years ago
No comments:
Post a Comment